YEARLY HIGH
2.0959 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.7331 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.9201 UGX

2022 MMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the MMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 3, valuing the pair at 2.0959. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 1.7331.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3628 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9852 to the December average rate of 1.7554, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 2.0959 was down 25.27% compared to the 2021 peak of 2.8046, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,479 UGX
2021 Average 11,274 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 8,666 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,813.90 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

2.0777
1.7261
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9827, compared to 1.8575 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1252 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9827
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8575

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was August, with a trading range of 0.3064 UGX (High: 2.0959 / Low: 1.7895). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0213 UGX (High: 1.9939 / Low: 1.9725).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3064
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0213

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1374 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1374

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 1.9110) against the same month in 2021 (average: 2.1494), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2385 (-11.09%).

2022 Avg (August) 1.9110
2021 Avg (August) 2.1494

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.9939 1.9725 1.9852
February 1.9952 1.9657 1.9775
March 2.0372 1.9852 2.0200
April 2.0106 1.9011 1.9312
May 2.0403 1.9125 1.9591
June 2.0524 1.9930 2.0232
July 2.0954 2.0067 2.0484
August 2.0959 1.7895 1.9110
September 1.8458 1.8008 1.8199
October 1.8339 1.8094 1.8204
November 1.8074 1.7785 1.7897
December 1.7810 1.7331 1.7554