YEARLY HIGH
1.8008 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.6467 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7566 UGX

2026 MMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 1.8008. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 1.6467.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1541 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6995 to the December average rate of 1.7827, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.8008 was up 1.03% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.7825, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,004 UGX
2025 Average 8,581 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 8,234 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 770.43 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.8033
1.6881
JanuMarcMayJuly

MMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7511, compared to 1.7730 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0219 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7511
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7730

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.0868 UGX (High: 1.8008 / Low: 1.7140). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 UGX (High: 1.7830 / Low: 1.7822).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0868
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0243 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0243

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 1.7757) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.7472), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0285 (+1.63%).

2026 Avg (March) 1.7757
2025 Avg (March) 1.7472

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7271 1.6467 1.6995
February 1.7161 1.6806 1.6977
March 1.8008 1.7140 1.7757
April 1.7888 1.7528 1.7704
May 1.7985 1.7798 1.7937
June 1.7953 1.7327 1.7695
July 1.7959 1.7387 1.7633
August 1.7830 1.7822 1.7827