2015 MMK to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.4160 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.5525 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.9276 UGX

2015 MMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 3.4160. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 2.5525.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8635 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7712 to the December average rate of 2.5892, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 3.4160 was up 24.63% compared to the 2014 peak of 2.7410, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,080 UGX

2014 Average 13,194 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 12,763 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,317.42 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

3.4696

2.5092

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8093, compared to 3.0459 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2366 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8093

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0459

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was October, with a trading range of 0.6521 UGX (High: 3.4160 / Low: 2.7639). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0234 UGX (High: 2.7971 / Low: 2.7737).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.6521

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0234

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.6424 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6424

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 3.3022) against the same month in 2014 (average: 2.6919), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6103 (+22.67%).

2015 Avg (October) 3.3022

2014 Avg (October) 2.6919

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.8280	2.6872	2.7712
February	2.7971	2.7737	2.7864
March	2.9231	2.7719	2.8306
April	2.9135	2.7636	2.8115
May	2.8056	2.7497	2.7627
June	2.9959	2.7934	2.8935
July	3.1705	2.9233	3.0566
August	3.3803	3.1706	3.2778
September	3.4071	3.3769	3.3896
October	3.4160	2.7639	3.3022
November	2.7899	2.5766	2.6598
December	2.6674	2.5525	2.5892