YEARLY HIGH
396.4130 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2.7924 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
99.0478 UGX

2012 MMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 396.4130. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 11, dropping to 2.7924.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 393.6206 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 371.8353 to the December average rate of 3.1290, the exchange rate registered a net change of -99.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 396.4130 was down 11.64% compared to the 2011 peak of 448.6434, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,982,065 UGX
2011 Average 1,945,913 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 13,962 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,968,103.19 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

418.8567
-35.0035
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 195.1274, compared to 2.9682 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 192.1592 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 195.1274
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.9682

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was April, with a trading range of 381.2130 UGX (High: 384.2440 / Low: 3.0310). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0523 UGX (High: 2.8877 / Low: 2.8354).

April Spread (Volatile) ±381.2130
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0523

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 329.4373 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -329.4373

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2012: 381.0351) against the same month in 2011 (average: 368.3551), the exchange rate shifted by +12.6800 (+3.44%).

2012 Avg (March) 381.0351
2011 Avg (March) 368.3551

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 383.9005 356.8833 371.8353
February 379.0727 355.5904 360.3903
March 396.4130 333.2692 381.0351
April 384.2440 3.0310 51.5977
May 3.0486 2.9452 2.9802
June 2.9793 2.8273 2.9256
July 2.8483 2.7924 2.8182
August 2.8877 2.8354 2.8533
September 2.9653 2.8746 2.9051
October 3.0458 2.9722 3.0239
November 3.1635 3.0331 3.0796
December 3.1601 3.0953 3.1290