2014 MMK to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7410 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.4912 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.6380 UGX

2014 MMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 2.7410. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 2.4912.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2497 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5379 to the December average rate of 2.6837, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 2.7410 was down 13.72% compared to the 2013 peak of 3.1769, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,705 UGX

2013 Average 13,900 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 12,456 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,248.73 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

2.7238

2.4891

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5935, compared to 2.6824 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0889 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5935

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6824

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 0.0924 UGX (High: 2.6638 / Low: 2.5715). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0213 UGX (High: 2.6360 / Low: 2.6148).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0924

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0213

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0318 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0318

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 2.7042) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.6411), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0631 (+2.39%).

2014 Avg (July) 2.7042

2013 Avg (July) 2.6411

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.5700	2.5080	2.5379
February	2.5741	2.4912	2.5086
March	2.6638	2.5715	2.6140
April	2.6640	2.6073	2.6261
May	2.6360	2.6148	2.6249
June	2.6748	2.6300	2.6497
July	2.7410	2.6696	2.7042
August	2.6984	2.6652	2.6853
September	2.6871	2.6406	2.6691
October	2.7225	2.6699	2.6919
November	2.7009	2.6131	2.6601
December	2.7027	2.6656	2.6837