2013 MOP to HNL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5734 HNL

YEARLY LOW

2.3661 HNL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5142 HNL

2013 MOP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 22, valuing the pair at 2.5734. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 22, dropping to 2.3661.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2073 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4939 to the December average rate of 2.5561, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.5734 was up 3.21% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.4934, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,867 HNL

2012 Average 12,089 HNL

Yearly Trough Low 11,830 HNL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,036.34 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.5758

2.4061

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4747, compared to 2.5537 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0790 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4747

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5537

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.1707 HNL (High: 2.5368 / Low: 2.3661). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0047 HNL (High: 2.5558 / Low: 2.5511).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1707

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0047

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0407 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0407

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2013: 2.5616) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.4778), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0838 (+3.38%).

2013 Avg (November) 2.5616

2012 Avg (November) 2.4778

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.4966	2.4896	2.4939
February	2.4972	2.4843	2.4934
March	2.4887	2.4530	2.4725
April	2.4555	2.4145	2.4318
May	2.5368	2.3661	2.4202
June	2.5416	2.5304	2.5366
July	2.5542	2.5284	2.5400
August	2.5558	2.5511	2.5531
September	2.5616	2.5401	2.5524
October	2.5611	2.5561	2.5593
November	2.5734	2.5444	2.5616
December	2.5703	2.5369	2.5561