YEARLY HIGH
3.1081 HNL
YEARLY LOW
1.8442 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0424 HNL

2019 MOP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 3.1081. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 9, dropping to 1.8442.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2639 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0250 to the December average rate of 3.0361, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.1081 was up 2.31% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.0378, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,540 HNL
2018 Average 14,812 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 9,221 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,319.35 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.0685
3.0097
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0335, compared to 3.0513 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0178 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0335
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0513

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 1.2418 HNL (High: 3.0860 / Low: 1.8442). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0159 HNL (High: 3.0400 / Low: 3.0241).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.2418
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0159

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0254 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0254

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 3.0636) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.9647), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0989 (+3.33%).

2019 Avg (June) 3.0636
2018 Avg (June) 2.9647

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0331 3.0041 3.0250
February 3.0440 3.0200 3.0299
March 3.0400 3.0241 3.0335
April 3.0414 3.0251 3.0347
May 3.0496 2.9155 3.0146
June 3.1081 3.0353 3.0636
July 3.0832 3.0364 3.0600
August 3.0647 3.0303 3.0437
September 3.0674 3.0094 3.0497
October 3.0654 3.0407 3.0569
November 3.0711 3.0495 3.0615
December 3.0860 1.8442 3.0361