YEARLY HIGH
3.0987 HNL
YEARLY LOW
3.0226 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0595 HNL

2023 MOP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MOP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 3.0987. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 3.0226.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0761 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0624 to the December average rate of 3.0686, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 3.0987 was down 3.61% compared to the 2022 peak of 3.2146, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,493 HNL
2022 Average 15,254 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 15,113 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 380.37 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

3.0751
3.0409
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0530, compared to 3.0660 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0130 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0530
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0660

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was July, with a trading range of 0.0692 HNL (High: 3.0987 / Low: 3.0295). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0144 HNL (High: 3.0627 / Low: 3.0483).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0692
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0144

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0126 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0126

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 3.0620) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.0395), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0225 (+0.74%).

2023 Avg (July) 3.0620
2022 Avg (July) 3.0395

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0762 3.0544 3.0624
February 3.0792 3.0226 3.0498
March 3.0627 3.0483 3.0511
April 3.0540 3.0366 3.0437
May 3.0612 3.0408 3.0514
June 3.0705 3.0339 3.0593
July 3.0987 3.0295 3.0620
August 3.0810 3.0336 3.0546
September 3.0935 3.0473 3.0722
October 3.0887 3.0557 3.0665
November 3.0850 3.0403 3.0720
December 3.0777 3.0548 3.0686