YEARLY HIGH
3.1581 HNL
YEARLY LOW
3.0234 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0966 HNL

2020 MOP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 14, valuing the pair at 3.1581. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 3.0234.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1347 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0956 to the December average rate of 3.0360, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 3.1581 was up 1.61% compared to the 2019 peak of 3.1081, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,790 HNL
2019 Average 15,212 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 15,117 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 673.50 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

3.1375
3.0268
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1133, compared to 3.0799 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0334 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1133
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0799

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was January, with a trading range of 0.1000 HNL (High: 3.1581 / Low: 3.0581). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0191 HNL (High: 3.0891 / Low: 3.0700).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1000
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0191

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0227 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0227

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 3.0956) against the same month in 2019 (average: 3.0250), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0706 (+2.33%).

2020 Avg (January) 3.0956
2019 Avg (January) 3.0250

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.1581 3.0581 3.0956
February 3.1115 3.0737 3.0993
March 3.1400 3.0831 3.1118
April 3.1425 3.1093 3.1211
May 3.1443 3.1070 3.1283
June 3.1305 3.1096 3.1235
July 3.1243 3.0996 3.1166
August 3.1243 3.0776 3.0966
September 3.1069 3.0846 3.0952
October 3.0891 3.0700 3.0788
November 3.0780 3.0381 3.0560
December 3.0456 3.0234 3.0360