2015 MOP to HNL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7903 HNL

YEARLY LOW

2.6092 HNL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.7170 HNL

2015 MOP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MOP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 2.7903. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 2.6092.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1811 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6347 to the December average rate of 2.7461, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 2.7903 was up 4.39% compared to the 2014 peak of 2.6729, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,952 HNL

2014 Average 12,779 HNL

Yearly Trough Low 13,046 HNL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 905.59 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

2.7610

2.6232

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6899, compared to 2.7441 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0542 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6899

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7441

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 0.1155 HNL (High: 2.7247 / Low: 2.6092). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0179 HNL (High: 2.7433 / Low: 2.7254).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1155

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0179

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0096 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0096

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 2.7461) against the same month in 2014 (average: 2.6388), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1073 (+4.07%).

2015 Avg (December) 2.7461

2014 Avg (December) 2.6388

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.6510	2.6140	2.6347
February	2.6604	2.6259	2.6463
March	2.7247	2.6092	2.6739
April	2.7614	2.6781	2.7044
May	2.7543	2.7273	2.7449
June	2.7474	2.7113	2.7353
July	2.7491	2.7194	2.7357
August	2.7617	2.7323	2.7451
September	2.7433	2.7254	2.7385
October	2.7611	2.7363	2.7495
November	2.7596	2.7391	2.7495
December	2.7903	2.7262	2.7461