YEARLY HIGH
3.1785 HNL
YEARLY LOW
3.0523 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0936 HNL

2024 MOP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the MOP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 3.1785. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 3.0523.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1262 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0667 to the December average rate of 3.1672, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 3.1785 was up 2.57% compared to the 2023 peak of 3.0987, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,892 HNL
2023 Average 15,298 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 15,261 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 631.08 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

3.1776
3.0535
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0708, compared to 3.1165 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0456 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0708
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1165

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was June, with a trading range of 0.0502 HNL (High: 3.1181 / Low: 3.0680). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0179 HNL (High: 3.0801 / Low: 3.0622).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0502
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0179

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0054 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0054

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2024: 3.1672) against the same month in 2023 (average: 3.0686), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0986 (+3.21%).

2024 Avg (December) 3.1672
2023 Avg (December) 3.0686

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0773 3.0540 3.0667
February 3.0801 3.0622 3.0681
March 3.0811 3.0523 3.0692
April 3.0774 3.0580 3.0638
May 3.0839 3.0650 3.0753
June 3.1181 3.0680 3.0819
July 3.0922 3.0715 3.0804
August 3.1060 3.0585 3.0890
September 3.1090 3.0846 3.0943
October 3.1500 3.1003 3.1244
November 3.1671 3.1265 3.1435
December 3.1785 3.1491 3.1672