YEARLY HIGH
10.2561 RSD
YEARLY LOW
8.2973 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.1202 RSD

2011 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 10.2561. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 5, dropping to 8.2973.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9588 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.7940 to the December average rate of 9.7579, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 10.2561 was down 4.89% compared to the 2010 peak of 10.7836, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,280 RSD
2010 Average 48,507 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 41,486 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,794.15 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

9.9208
8.3992
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.0487, compared to 9.1917 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1431 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.0487
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.1917

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was January, with a trading range of 0.8094 RSD (High: 10.2561 / Low: 9.4467). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2424 RSD (High: 9.5304 / Low: 9.2880).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.8094
February Spread (Stable) ±0.2424

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.4327 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4327

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 9.7940) against the same month in 2010 (average: 8.4862), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3078 (+15.41%).

2011 Avg (January) 9.7940
2010 Avg (January) 8.4862

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.2561 9.4467 9.7940
February 9.5304 9.2880 9.4267
March 9.4035 9.0008 9.1783
April 9.0701 8.3635 8.7456
May 8.8006 8.2973 8.5260
June 8.8891 8.3400 8.6215
July 9.1329 8.6139 8.8905
August 9.0033 8.6945 8.8641
September 9.4503 8.7301 9.1036
October 9.5604 8.7898 9.1158
November 9.7144 9.0830 9.4185
December 10.2097 9.5514 9.7579