2017 MOP to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

14.8465 RSD

YEARLY LOW

12.2559 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.4248 RSD

2017 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 14.8465. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 12.2559.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5906 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.5741 to the December average rate of 12.4793, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 14.8465 was down 0.30% compared to the 2016 peak of 14.8912, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 74,232 RSD

2016 Average 69,558 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 61,280 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,952.78 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

14.7892

12.2085

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.2385, compared to 12.6111 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.6274 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.2385

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.6111

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was April, with a trading range of 0.5809 RSD (High: 14.6164 / Low: 14.0355). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2533 RSD (High: 12.7637 / Low: 12.5104).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.5809

October Spread (Stable) ±0.2533

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.5332 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5332

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 14.5741) against the same month in 2016 (average: 14.0757), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4984 (+3.54%).

2017 Avg (January) 14.5741

2016 Avg (January) 14.0757

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	14.8465	14.4161	14.5741
February	14.6966	14.3638	14.5679
March	14.6944	14.2782	14.4964
April	14.6164	14.0355	14.3963
May	14.1287	13.6048	13.8706
June	13.6390	13.1469	13.5259
July	13.2232	12.7469	12.9927
August	12.7238	12.2822	12.5660
September	12.6383	12.2927	12.4235
October	12.7637	12.5104	12.6171
November	12.7648	12.4337	12.5882
December	12.6762	12.2559	12.4793