YEARLY HIGH
13.8846 RSD
YEARLY LOW
12.9608 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.4493 RSD

2023 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 3, valuing the pair at 13.8846. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 17, dropping to 12.9608.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9238 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.5102 to the December average rate of 13.3281, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 13.8846 was down 8.19% compared to the 2022 peak of 15.1239, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 69,423 RSD
2022 Average 69,238 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 64,804 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,619.21 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

13.8380
13.1226
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.4414, compared to 13.4571 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0157 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.4414
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.4571

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 0.5695 RSD (High: 13.7681 / Low: 13.1986). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2117 RSD (High: 13.4477 / Low: 13.2360).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.5695
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2117

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3263 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3263

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 13.7784) against the same month in 2022 (average: 14.7535), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9751 (-6.61%).

2023 Avg (October) 13.7784
2022 Avg (October) 14.7535

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.8611 13.3257 13.5102
February 13.7681 13.1986 13.5647
March 13.7589 13.3053 13.5617
April 13.4134 13.1209 13.2354
May 13.5930 13.0940 13.3727
June 13.5776 13.2326 13.4039
July 13.4062 12.9608 13.1822
August 13.4477 13.2360 13.3380
September 13.8491 13.4570 13.6240
October 13.8846 13.6269 13.7784
November 13.7447 13.2814 13.4920
December 13.5276 13.0806 13.3281