2013 MOP to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.1248 RSD

YEARLY LOW

10.1712 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.6577 RSD

2013 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 10, valuing the pair at 11.1248. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 10.1712.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9536 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.5531 to the December average rate of 10.4838, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 11.1248 was down 9.05% compared to the 2012 peak of 12.2319, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 55,624 RSD

2012 Average 55,011 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 50,856 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,767.91 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

10.9474

10.3778

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.6623, compared to 10.6532 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0091 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.6623

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.6532

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was January, with a trading range of 0.5182 RSD (High: 10.8077 / Low: 10.2896). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1578 RSD (High: 10.8297 / Low: 10.6718).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5182

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1578

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2753 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2753

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 10.9000) against the same month in 2012 (average: 11.8592), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9593 (-8.09%).

2013 Avg (July) 10.9000

2012 Avg (July) 11.8592

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.8077	10.2896	10.5531
February	10.6314	10.1712	10.4253
March	10.9460	10.6870	10.7802
April	10.9145	10.5809	10.7103
May	10.8104	10.5065	10.6842
June	10.9806	10.6590	10.8206
July	11.1248	10.7292	10.9000
August	10.8297	10.6718	10.7220
September	10.9391	10.5810	10.7512
October	10.6008	10.3241	10.4759
November	10.6776	10.5054	10.5862
December	10.5767	10.3877	10.4838