YEARLY HIGH
12.8039 RSD
YEARLY LOW
12.1710 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.5259 RSD

2026 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 25, valuing the pair at 12.8039. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 12.1710.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6329 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.4589 to the December average rate of 12.7272, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 12.8039 was down 10.19% compared to the 2025 peak of 14.2571, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 64,019 RSD
2025 Average 64,686 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 60,855 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,164.47 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

12.7659
12.3023
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.4923, compared to 12.7272 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2349 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.4923
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.7272

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.4212 RSD (High: 12.7640 / Low: 12.3428). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0815 RSD (High: 12.7669 / Low: 12.6854).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4212
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1550 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1550

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 12.6330) against the same month in 2025 (average: 12.5748), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0582 (+0.46%).

2026 Avg (June) 12.6330
2025 Avg (June) 12.5748

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.5889 12.1710 12.4589
February 12.4024 12.2118 12.3410
March 12.7640 12.3428 12.5996
April 12.6510 12.3151 12.4446
May 12.5121 12.4027 12.4768
June 12.8039 12.4733 12.6330
July 12.7669 12.6854 12.7272