2019 MOP to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.3509 RSD

YEARLY LOW

12.6917 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.0427 RSD

2019 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 1, valuing the pair at 13.3509. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 12.6917.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6592 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.8342 to the December average rate of 13.1622, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 13.3509 was up 2.51% compared to the 2018 peak of 13.0246, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 66,755 RSD

2018 Average 62,074 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 63,458 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,296.20 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

13.2656

12.7950

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.9364, compared to 13.1490 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2126 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.9364

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.1490

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 0.3180 RSD (High: 13.3509 / Low: 13.0329). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1301 RSD (High: 13.1152 / Low: 12.9850).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.3180

May Spread (Stable) ±0.1301

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0971 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0971

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2019: 13.1581) against the same month in 2018 (average: 12.7739), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3843 (+3.01%).

2019 Avg (October) 13.1581

2018 Avg (October) 12.7739

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.9558	12.6917	12.8342
February	12.9681	12.7827	12.8827
March	13.0449	12.7659	12.9199
April	13.1080	12.9123	12.9949
May	13.1152	12.9850	13.0419
June	13.0980	12.8561	12.9448
July	13.1895	12.9231	13.0472
August	13.2589	12.9769	13.1135
September	13.3208	13.1639	13.2264
October	13.3509	13.0329	13.1581
November	13.2525	13.0247	13.1868
December	13.2651	13.0619	13.1622