YEARLY HIGH
13.7914 RSD
YEARLY LOW
11.9696 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.9152 RSD

2020 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 13.7914. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 11.9696.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8219 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.2245 to the December average rate of 12.0980, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 13.7914 was up 3.30% compared to the 2019 peak of 13.3509, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 68,957 RSD
2019 Average 65,218 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 59,848 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,109.41 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

13.7010
11.9523
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.3539, compared to 12.4765 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8773 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.3539
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.4765

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.9080 RSD (High: 13.7914 / Low: 12.8834). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2021 RSD (High: 12.5523 / Low: 12.3502).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.9080
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2021

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.4140 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4140

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 13.3033) against the same month in 2019 (average: 12.9199), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3834 (+2.97%).

2020 Avg (March) 13.3033
2019 Avg (March) 12.9199

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.3417 13.0008 13.2245
February 13.6148 13.2815 13.4506
March 13.7914 12.8834 13.3033
April 13.6816 13.4051 13.5552
May 13.6395 13.2672 13.5018
June 13.2432 12.9611 13.0878
July 13.1099 12.4123 12.8600
August 12.5523 12.3502 12.4540
September 12.6670 12.3594 12.4977
October 12.6449 12.4173 12.5193
November 12.6490 12.3082 12.4301
December 12.1961 11.9696 12.0980