2018 MOP to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.0246 RSD

YEARLY LOW

11.7363 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.4113 RSD

2018 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 13.0246. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 11.7363.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2883 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.0742 to the December average rate of 12.9005, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 13.0246 was down 12.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 14.8465, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,123 RSD

2017 Average 67,088 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 58,681 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,441.70 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

13.0146

11.7660

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.1040, compared to 12.7185 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6145 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.1040

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.7185

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.5888 RSD (High: 12.6614 / Low: 12.0727). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1162 RSD (High: 12.5410 / Low: 12.4248).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5888

July Spread (Stable) ±0.1162

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1820 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1820

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 12.9005) against the same month in 2017 (average: 12.4793), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4212 (+3.37%).

2018 Avg (December) 12.9005

2017 Avg (December) 12.4793

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.3616	11.8632	12.0742
February	12.0245	11.7363	11.8922
March	11.9680	11.7776	11.8700
April	12.0959	11.7964	11.9128
May	12.6614	12.0727	12.3642
June	12.6373	12.3765	12.5107
July	12.5410	12.4248	12.4888
August	12.8617	12.4868	12.6625
September	12.6539	12.4152	12.5749
October	12.9221	12.6399	12.7739
November	13.0005	12.8045	12.9105
December	13.0246	12.7835	12.9005