2011 NPR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5285 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.0757 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.4086 DJF

2011 NPR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the NPR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 2.5285. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 2.0757.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4528 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4971 to the December average rate of 2.1240, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 2.5285 was down 0.55% compared to the 2010 peak of 2.5424, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,643 DJF

2010 Average 12,453 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 10,379 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,263.84 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

2.5465

2.0856

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4925, compared to 2.3246 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1679 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4925

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3246

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.1493 DJF (High: 2.4363 / Low: 2.2870). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0249 DJF (High: 2.5236 / Low: 2.4986).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1493

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0249

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1022 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1022

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2011: 2.5014) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2.4603), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0410 (+1.67%).

2011 Avg (July) 2.5014

2010 Avg (July) 2.4603

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.5219	2.4851	2.4971
February	2.5133	2.4851	2.4961
March	2.5236	2.4986	2.5067
April	2.5205	2.4927	2.5081
May	2.5144	2.4460	2.4716
June	2.4931	2.4632	2.4755
July	2.5285	2.4812	2.5014
August	2.5202	2.4125	2.4508
September	2.4363	2.2870	2.3517
October	2.3057	2.2742	2.2934
November	2.3025	2.1631	2.2262
December	2.1887	2.0757	2.1240