YEARLY HIGH
1.6287 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.3005 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5808 DJF

2019 NPR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the NPR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 11, valuing the pair at 1.6287. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 1.3005.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3282 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5671 to the December average rate of 1.5632, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.6287 was down 7.71% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.7648, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,143 DJF
2018 Average 8,144 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 6,503 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,640.94 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.6253
1.5516
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5885, compared to 1.5732 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0153 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5885
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5732

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.3009 DJF (High: 1.6014 / Low: 1.3005). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0179 DJF (High: 1.6090 / Low: 1.5911).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3009
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0179

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0492 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0492

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 1.6191) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.6197), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0006 (-0.03%).

2019 Avg (July) 1.6191
2018 Avg (July) 1.6197

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6014 1.3005 1.5671
February 1.5782 1.5518 1.5647
March 1.6223 1.5706 1.6014
April 1.6131 1.5842 1.6008
May 1.6050 1.5790 1.5949
June 1.6090 1.5911 1.6019
July 1.6287 1.6056 1.6191
August 1.6108 1.5479 1.5699
September 1.5764 1.5380 1.5622
October 1.5736 1.5547 1.5669
November 1.5738 1.5441 1.5578
December 1.5723 1.5513 1.5632