YEARLY HIGH
1.5408 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.4576 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5066 DJF

2021 NPR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the NPR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 23, valuing the pair at 1.5408. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 1.4576.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0832 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5231 to the December average rate of 1.4773, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.5408 was down 2.11% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.5741, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,704 DJF
2020 Average 7,514 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 7,288 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 416.21 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.5365
1.4719
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5189, compared to 1.4943 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0246 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5189
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4943

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0478 DJF (High: 1.5239 / Low: 1.4760). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0123 DJF (High: 1.4985 / Low: 1.4862).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0478
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0123

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0339 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0339

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2021: 1.5305) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.4973), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0332 (+2.22%).

2021 Avg (March) 1.5305
2020 Avg (March) 1.4973

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5298 1.5166 1.5231
February 1.5385 1.5210 1.5311
March 1.5408 1.5119 1.5305
April 1.5239 1.4760 1.4966
May 1.5353 1.5004 1.5196
June 1.5283 1.4967 1.5127
July 1.4985 1.4862 1.4936
August 1.5251 1.4950 1.5011
September 1.5240 1.4995 1.5133
October 1.5012 1.4741 1.4860
November 1.5038 1.4815 1.4946
December 1.4954 1.4576 1.4773