2013 NPR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0867 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.6583 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.9043 DJF

2013 NPR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the NPR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 2.0867. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 4, dropping to 1.6583.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4284 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0444 to the December average rate of 1.7988, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.0867 was down 8.64% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.2840, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,434 DJF

2012 Average 10,459 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 8,292 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,142.13 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.0916

1.7090

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0176, compared to 1.7911 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2266 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0176

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7911

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 0.1707 DJF (High: 1.8392 / Low: 1.6685). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0334 DJF (High: 1.8101 / Low: 1.7767).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1707

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0334

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1131 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1131

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 2.0597) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.2613), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2016 (-8.92%).

2013 Avg (February) 2.0597

2012 Avg (February) 2.2613

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0798	2.0122	2.0444
February	2.0867	2.0375	2.0597
March	2.0523	2.0174	2.0368
April	2.0559	2.0204	2.0379
May	2.0542	1.9638	2.0201
June	1.9638	1.8419	1.9070
July	1.8827	1.8241	1.8583
August	1.8392	1.6685	1.7742
September	1.7869	1.6583	1.7409
October	1.8101	1.7767	1.7982
November	1.7979	1.7576	1.7760
December	1.8262	1.7788	1.7988