2012 NPR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2840 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.9691 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0923 DJF

2012 NPR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the NPR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 6, valuing the pair at 2.2840. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 1.9691.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3150 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1734 to the December average rate of 2.0327, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.2840 was down 9.67% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.5285, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,420 DJF

2011 Average 12,040 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 9,845 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,574.83 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.2873

1.9754

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1480, compared to 2.0367 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1113 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1480

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0367

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.1740 DJF (High: 2.2613 / Low: 2.0873). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0285 DJF (High: 2.0168 / Low: 1.9883).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1740

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0285

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1005 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1005

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 2.2613) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.4961), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2348 (-9.41%).

2012 Avg (February) 2.2613

2011 Avg (February) 2.4961

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.2613	2.0873	2.1734
February	2.2840	2.2225	2.2613
March	2.2643	2.1861	2.2213
April	2.2042	2.1239	2.1654
May	2.1314	1.9906	2.0649
June	2.0272	1.9691	2.0014
July	2.0504	1.9902	2.0127
August	2.0168	1.9883	2.0047
September	2.1059	1.9970	2.0436
October	2.1484	2.0582	2.0982
November	2.0647	1.9985	2.0283
December	2.0515	2.0168	2.0327