2014 NPR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.9100 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.7478 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8261 DJF

2014 NPR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the NPR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 24, valuing the pair at 1.9100. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 1.7478.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1622 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7917 to the December average rate of 1.7765, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.9100 was down 8.47% compared to the 2013 peak of 2.0867, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,550 DJF

2013 Average 9,517 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 8,739 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 810.96 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.8871

1.7664

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8326, compared to 1.8195 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0132 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8326

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8195

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 0.0708 DJF (High: 1.8617 / Low: 1.7909). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0213 DJF (High: 1.8706 / Low: 1.8494).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0708

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0213

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0282 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0282

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 1.8771) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.0201), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1430 (-7.08%).

2014 Avg (May) 1.8771

2013 Avg (May) 2.0201

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8083	1.7669	1.7917
February	1.8043	1.7722	1.7879
March	1.8617	1.7909	1.8217
April	1.8628	1.8286	1.8479
May	1.9100	1.8440	1.8771
June	1.8897	1.8449	1.8695
July	1.8706	1.8494	1.8576
August	1.8476	1.8174	1.8333
September	1.8510	1.8127	1.8306
October	1.8265	1.8008	1.8142
November	1.8177	1.7939	1.8046
December	1.8099	1.7478	1.7765