2018 NPR to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7648 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.4961 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6294 DJF

2018 NPR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NPR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 1.7648. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 9, dropping to 1.4961.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2687 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7554 to the December average rate of 1.5751, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.7648 was up 0.14% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7624, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,824 DJF

2017 Average 8,586 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 7,480 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,343.45 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.7798

1.4874

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6921, compared to 1.5667 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1254 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6921

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5667

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0817 DJF (High: 1.5968 / Low: 1.5151). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0110 DJF (High: 1.7077 / Low: 1.6967).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0817

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0110

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0553 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0553

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.7554) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.6409), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1145 (+6.98%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.7554

2017 Avg (January) 1.6409

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7648	1.7448	1.7554
February	1.7519	1.6972	1.7240
March	1.7077	1.6967	1.7018
April	1.7038	1.6540	1.6838
May	1.6617	1.6289	1.6455
June	1.6618	1.6188	1.6419
July	1.6262	1.6120	1.6197
August	1.6249	1.5684	1.6000
September	1.5684	1.5310	1.5447
October	1.5273	1.4961	1.5118
November	1.5968	1.5151	1.5488
December	1.5956	1.5456	1.5751