2011 NPR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3737 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9754 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2001 KES

2011 NPR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the NPR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.3737. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 0.9754.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3983 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1376 to the December average rate of 1.0310, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.3737 was up 18.85% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.1558, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,869 KES

2010 Average 5,551 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,877 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,991.42 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.3304

1.0037

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1799, compared to 1.2203 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0403 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1799

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2203

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.1788 KES (High: 1.2679 / Low: 1.0892). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0137 KES (High: 1.1444 / Low: 1.1307).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1788

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0137

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1368 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1368

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.3032) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.1468), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1564 (+13.64%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.3032

2010 Avg (October) 1.1468

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1444	1.1307	1.1376
February	1.1581	1.1334	1.1449
March	1.2120	1.1674	1.1889
April	1.1927	1.1719	1.1829
May	1.2026	1.1686	1.1861
June	1.2745	1.1974	1.2391
July	1.2968	1.2440	1.2655
August	1.3183	1.2547	1.2808
September	1.3287	1.2419	1.2734
October	1.3737	1.2767	1.3032
November	1.2679	1.0892	1.1678
December	1.0975	0.9754	1.0310