2013 NPR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0300 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8159 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9236 KES

2013 NPR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the NPR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 1.0300. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 4, dropping to 0.8159.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2141 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0015 to the December average rate of 0.8718, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.0300 was down 4.10% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.0741, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,150 KES

2012 Average 4,955 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,080 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,070.42 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.0307

0.8403

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9743, compared to 0.8729 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1014 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9743

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8729

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 0.0788 KES (High: 0.9018 / Low: 0.8230). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0146 KES (High: 0.8741 / Low: 0.8594).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0788

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0146

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0390 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0390

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 1.0148) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.0528), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0380 (-3.61%).

2013 Avg (February) 1.0148

2012 Avg (February) 1.0528

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0287	0.9800	1.0015
February	1.0300	0.9911	1.0148
March	0.9910	0.9763	0.9851
April	0.9838	0.9615	0.9687
May	0.9706	0.9404	0.9572
June	0.9411	0.8934	0.9182
July	0.9284	0.8908	0.9087
August	0.9018	0.8230	0.8740
September	0.8782	0.8159	0.8562
October	0.8741	0.8594	0.8647
November	0.8716	0.8508	0.8620
December	0.8886	0.8648	0.8718