2016 NPR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9674 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9262 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9446 KES

2016 NPR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NPR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.9674. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 25, dropping to 0.9262.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0412 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9509 to the December average rate of 0.9412, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9674 was down 4.17% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0095, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,837 KES

2015 Average 4,784 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,631 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 206.23 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9538

0.9323

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9442, compared to 0.9450 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9442

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9450

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0295 KES (High: 0.9674 / Low: 0.9379). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0061 KES (High: 0.9541 / Low: 0.9479).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0295

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0061

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0168 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0168

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.9509) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9160), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0349 (+3.81%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.9509

2015 Avg (January) 0.9160

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9674	0.9379	0.9509
February	0.9452	0.9262	0.9341
March	0.9561	0.9331	0.9475
April	0.9581	0.9494	0.9520
May	0.9534	0.9317	0.9414
June	0.9473	0.9310	0.9396
July	0.9464	0.9368	0.9425
August	0.9511	0.9432	0.9473
September	0.9539	0.9431	0.9481
October	0.9541	0.9479	0.9496
November	0.9545	0.9280	0.9415
December	0.9462	0.9320	0.9412