2012 NPR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0741 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9245 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9912 KES

2012 NPR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the NPR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 23, valuing the pair at 1.0741. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 0.9245.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1496 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0493 to the December average rate of 0.9830, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.0741 was down 21.81% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.3737, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,370 KES

2011 Average 6,002 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,623 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 747.81 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.0634

0.9365

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0099, compared to 0.9724 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0375 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0099

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9724

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0787 KES (High: 1.0741 / Low: 0.9954). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0110 KES (High: 0.9523 / Low: 0.9412).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0787

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0110

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0341 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0341

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 1.0493) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.1376), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0883 (-7.76%).

2012 Avg (January) 1.0493

2011 Avg (January) 1.1376

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0741	0.9954	1.0493
February	1.0690	1.0294	1.0528
March	1.0576	1.0155	1.0304
April	1.0271	0.9879	1.0063
May	0.9898	0.9509	0.9722
June	0.9751	0.9245	0.9483
July	0.9669	0.9418	0.9523
August	0.9523	0.9412	0.9470
September	1.0107	0.9472	0.9717
October	1.0262	0.9867	1.0043
November	0.9922	0.9649	0.9762
December	0.9920	0.9750	0.9830