YEARLY HIGH
0.9599 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.9118 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9385 KES

2022 NPR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the NPR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 0.9599. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 19, dropping to 0.9118.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0482 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9524 to the December average rate of 0.9326, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 0.9599 was up 0.95% compared to the 2021 peak of 0.9509, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,800 KES
2021 Average 4,640 KES
Yearly Trough Low 4,559 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 240.77 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

0.9557
0.9160
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9445, compared to 0.9325 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0120 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9445
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9325

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was September, with a trading range of 0.0345 KES (High: 0.9546 / Low: 0.9201). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0092 KES (High: 0.9418 / Low: 0.9326).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0345
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0092

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0206 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0206

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2022: 0.9524) against the same month in 2021 (average: 0.9397), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0127 (+1.35%).

2022 Avg (January) 0.9524
2021 Avg (January) 0.9397

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9599 0.9457 0.9524
February 0.9541 0.9414 0.9484
March 0.9499 0.9284 0.9385
April 0.9555 0.9400 0.9473
May 0.9500 0.9360 0.9411
June 0.9418 0.9326 0.9394
July 0.9370 0.9255 0.9308
August 0.9465 0.9342 0.9391
September 0.9546 0.9201 0.9399
October 0.9270 0.9118 0.9193
November 0.9451 0.9170 0.9333
December 0.9437 0.9272 0.9326