YEARLY HIGH
1.0228 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.9391 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9930 KES

2017 NPR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the NPR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 2, valuing the pair at 1.0228. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.9391.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0836 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9525 to the December average rate of 1.0031, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1.0228 was up 5.72% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.9674, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,114 KES
2016 Average 4,723 KES
Yearly Trough Low 4,696 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 418.15 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

1.0178
0.9466
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9835, compared to 1.0024 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0189 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9835
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0024

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was March, with a trading range of 0.0312 KES (High: 0.9908 / Low: 0.9596). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0100 KES (High: 1.0091 / Low: 0.9990).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0312
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0100

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0124 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0124

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2017: 1.0119) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.9473), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0645 (+6.81%).

2017 Avg (August) 1.0119
2016 Avg (August) 0.9473

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9605 0.9391 0.9525
February 0.9717 0.9592 0.9665
March 0.9908 0.9596 0.9756
April 1.0088 0.9888 1.0004
May 1.0123 0.9947 1.0017
June 1.0091 0.9990 1.0045
July 1.0196 0.9985 1.0081
August 1.0228 1.0016 1.0119
September 1.0084 0.9816 0.9995
October 1.0017 0.9834 0.9934
November 1.0044 0.9922 0.9985
December 1.0111 0.9950 1.0031