2014 NPR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9383 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8507 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8996 KES

2014 NPR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the NPR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 25, valuing the pair at 0.9383. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 0.8507.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0876 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8682 to the December average rate of 0.9009, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.9383 was down 8.90% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.0300, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,692 KES

2013 Average 4,615 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,254 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 438.08 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.9230

0.8611

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8920, compared to 0.9072 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0152 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8920

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9072

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 0.0395 KES (High: 0.9383 / Low: 0.8988). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0070 KES (High: 0.9163 / Low: 0.9093).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0395

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0070

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0083 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0083

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 0.9179) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.9572), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0393 (-4.11%).

2014 Avg (May) 0.9179

2013 Avg (May) 0.9572

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8763	0.8507	0.8682
February	0.8724	0.8594	0.8663
March	0.9054	0.8691	0.8854
April	0.9046	0.8905	0.8977
May	0.9383	0.8988	0.9179
June	0.9270	0.9070	0.9165
July	0.9163	0.9093	0.9121
August	0.9123	0.8948	0.9038
September	0.9179	0.9036	0.9108
October	0.9147	0.9014	0.9066
November	0.9130	0.9055	0.9092
December	0.9172	0.8876	0.9009