YEARLY HIGH
1.0095 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.8914 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9565 KES

2015 NPR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the NPR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 18, valuing the pair at 1.0095. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 0.8914.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1181 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9160 to the December average rate of 0.9623, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.0095 was up 7.58% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.9383, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,047 KES
2014 Average 4,499 KES
Yearly Trough Low 4,457 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 590.55 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.0030
0.9081
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9318, compared to 0.9813 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0495 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9318
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9813

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.0444 KES (High: 0.9358 / Low: 0.8914). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0132 KES (High: 0.9289 / Low: 0.9157).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0444
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0132

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0194 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0194

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2015: 0.9951) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.9121), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0829 (+9.09%).

2015 Avg (July) 0.9951
2014 Avg (July) 0.9121

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9358 0.8914 0.9160
February 0.9289 0.9157 0.9215
March 0.9245 0.9070 0.9173
April 0.9402 0.9256 0.9330
May 0.9577 0.9285 0.9454
June 0.9723 0.9465 0.9575
July 1.0095 0.9744 0.9951
August 0.9980 0.9741 0.9853
September 1.0003 0.9803 0.9944
October 0.9956 0.9704 0.9851
November 0.9742 0.9559 0.9657
December 0.9762 0.9522 0.9623