2011 RSD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4352 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9891 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2163 KES

2011 RSD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the RSD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.4352. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.9891.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4461 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0323 to the December average rate of 1.1065, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.4352 was up 26.05% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.1385, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,176 KES

2010 Average 5,111 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,945 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,230.37 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.4161

0.9974

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1650, compared to 1.2675 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1025 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1650

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2675

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.1981 KES (High: 1.3497 / Low: 1.1516). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0379 KES (High: 1.1031 / Low: 1.0653).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1981

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0379

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1466 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1466

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.3812) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.0144), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3668 (+36.16%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.3812

2010 Avg (October) 1.0144

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0709	0.9891	1.0323
February	1.1031	1.0653	1.0786
March	1.1760	1.0983	1.1453
April	1.2455	1.1458	1.1974
May	1.2735	1.2215	1.2495
June	1.3148	1.2614	1.2870
July	1.2841	1.2284	1.2607
August	1.3436	1.2760	1.3049
September	1.3700	1.2764	1.3171
October	1.4352	1.3317	1.3812
November	1.3497	1.1516	1.2345
December	1.1722	1.0405	1.1065