2015 RSD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0010 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8055 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9032 KES

2015 RSD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the RSD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 17, valuing the pair at 1.0010. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 0.8055.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1955 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8679 to the December average rate of 0.9143, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.0010 was down 4.58% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.0491, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,005 KES

2014 Average 4,984 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,027 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 977.60 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.0013

0.8097

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8654, compared to 0.9411 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0757 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8654

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9411

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 0.0765 KES (High: 0.9944 / Low: 0.9179). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0255 KES (High: 0.8651 / Low: 0.8396).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0765

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0255

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0514 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0514

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 0.9854) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.9653), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0200 (+2.08%).

2015 Avg (September) 0.9854

2014 Avg (September) 0.9653

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9050	0.8363	0.8679
February	0.8651	0.8396	0.8559
March	0.8506	0.8055	0.8257
April	0.8808	0.8256	0.8404
May	0.9115	0.8776	0.8919
June	0.9265	0.8860	0.9105
July	0.9463	0.9144	0.9278
August	0.9944	0.9179	0.9496
September	1.0010	0.9704	0.9854
October	0.9842	0.9218	0.9603
November	0.9336	0.8911	0.9089
December	0.9246	0.8916	0.9143