2019 RSD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9972 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9483 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9691 KES

2019 RSD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.9972. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 0.9483.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0490 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9800 to the December average rate of 0.9590, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.9972 was down 7.18% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.0744, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,986 KES

2018 Average 5,058 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,741 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 244.85 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.9854

0.9566

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9667, compared to 0.9714 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0046 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9667

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9714

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0318 KES (High: 0.9972 / Low: 0.9654). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0099 KES (High: 0.9878 / Low: 0.9778).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0318

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0099

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0176 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0176

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.9800) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.0582), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0782 (-7.39%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.9800

2018 Avg (January) 1.0582

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9972	0.9654	0.9800
February	0.9720	0.9553	0.9624
March	0.9790	0.9483	0.9611
April	0.9697	0.9571	0.9627
May	0.9645	0.9541	0.9599
June	0.9874	0.9599	0.9743
July	0.9878	0.9778	0.9830
August	0.9861	0.9665	0.9759
September	0.9774	0.9650	0.9721
October	0.9855	0.9659	0.9757
November	0.9820	0.9524	0.9626
December	0.9684	0.9492	0.9590