2013 RSD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0771 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9724 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0118 KES

2013 RSD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the RSD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 1.0771. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 7, dropping to 0.9724.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1047 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0325 to the December average rate of 1.0308, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.0771 was up 0.15% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.0755, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,386 KES

2012 Average 4,819 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,862 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 523.56 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.0558

0.9775

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0057, compared to 1.0179 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0122 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0057

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0179

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.0637 KES (High: 1.0771 / Low: 1.0135). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0142 KES (High: 1.0260 / Low: 1.0119).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0637

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0142

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0539 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0539

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 1.0493) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.0162), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0330 (+3.25%).

2013 Avg (February) 1.0493

2012 Avg (February) 1.0162

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0675	1.0048	1.0325
February	1.0771	1.0135	1.0493
March	1.0110	0.9776	0.9954
April	0.9947	0.9757	0.9843
May	0.9964	0.9733	0.9840
June	1.0060	0.9809	0.9887
July	1.0208	0.9724	0.9982
August	1.0260	1.0119	1.0217
September	1.0342	1.0019	1.0181
October	1.0302	1.0075	1.0190
November	1.0373	1.0023	1.0193
December	1.0392	1.0233	1.0308