2016 RSD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9474 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8598 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9131 KES

2016 RSD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 0.9474. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.8598.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0877 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9072 to the December average rate of 0.8731, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9474 was down 5.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0010, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,737 KES

2015 Average 4,518 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,299 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 438.37 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9411

0.8669

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9216, compared to 0.9047 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0169 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9216

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9047

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0486 KES (High: 0.9212 / Low: 0.8726). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0078 KES (High: 0.9250 / Low: 0.9172).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0486

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0078

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0195 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0195

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.9264) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8919), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0346 (+3.88%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.9264

2015 Avg (May) 0.8919

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9163	0.8997	0.9072
February	0.9389	0.9024	0.9220
March	0.9386	0.8932	0.9175
April	0.9440	0.9249	0.9349
May	0.9474	0.9076	0.9264
June	0.9327	0.9022	0.9214
July	0.9168	0.9023	0.9096
August	0.9313	0.9131	0.9225
September	0.9250	0.9172	0.9214
October	0.9247	0.8957	0.9086
November	0.9212	0.8726	0.8926
December	0.8894	0.8598	0.8731