2018 RSD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0744 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9686 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0120 KES

2018 RSD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 1.0744. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 0.9686.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1058 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0582 to the December average rate of 0.9830, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0744 was up 2.61% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0471, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,372 KES

2017 Average 4,822 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,843 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 528.91 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0661

0.9727

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0371, compared to 0.9868 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0503 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0371

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9868

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0381 KES (High: 1.0284 / Low: 0.9902). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0101 KES (High: 0.9877 / Low: 0.9775).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0381

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0101

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0379 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0379

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1.0583) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8898), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1684 (+18.93%).

2018 Avg (February) 1.0583

2017 Avg (February) 0.8898

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0715	1.0371	1.0582
February	1.0744	1.0397	1.0583
March	1.0658	1.0468	1.0554
April	1.0571	1.0250	1.0448
May	1.0284	0.9902	1.0069
June	1.0111	0.9903	0.9989
July	1.0048	0.9919	0.9971
August	0.9973	0.9686	0.9839
September	1.0054	0.9832	0.9933
October	0.9889	0.9713	0.9805
November	0.9954	0.9750	0.9832
December	0.9877	0.9775	0.9830