2014 RSD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0491 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9043 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9968 KES

2014 RSD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RSD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 6, valuing the pair at 1.0491. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 0.9043.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1448 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0182 to the December average rate of 0.9163, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.0491 was down 2.60% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.0771, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,245 KES

2013 Average 5,058 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,521 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 724.12 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.0504

0.9041

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0292, compared to 0.9645 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0648 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0292

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9645

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.0351 KES (High: 0.9870 / Low: 0.9518). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0060 KES (High: 1.0352 / Low: 1.0291).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0351

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0060

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0346 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0346

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 1.0382) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.9840), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0542 (+5.51%).

2014 Avg (May) 1.0382

2013 Avg (May) 0.9840

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0369	1.0045	1.0182
February	1.0271	1.0051	1.0169
March	1.0411	1.0235	1.0338
April	1.0425	1.0280	1.0369
May	1.0491	1.0326	1.0382
June	1.0352	1.0291	1.0314
July	1.0369	1.0061	1.0223
August	1.0084	0.9857	0.9999
September	0.9870	0.9518	0.9653
October	0.9553	0.9410	0.9477
November	0.9432	0.9298	0.9352
December	0.9318	0.9043	0.9163