2012 RSD to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20.3354 SOS

YEARLY LOW

16.6259 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

18.5036 SOS

2012 RSD to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RSD to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 20.3354. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 25, dropping to 16.6259.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7095 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.0253 to the December average rate of 18.6685, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 20.3354 was down 15.82% compared to the 2011 peak of 24.1579, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 101,677 SOS

2011 Average 110,629 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 83,129 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,547.45 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

20.3195

16.7890

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.0586, compared to 17.9486 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1099 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.0586

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.9486

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 2.0993 SOS (High: 19.2623 / Low: 17.1630). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4435 SOS (High: 18.6655 / Low: 18.2220).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.0993

November Spread (Stable) ±0.4435

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.9021 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 19.8834) against the same month in 2011 (average: 21.1907), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3073 (-6.17%).

2012 Avg (February) 19.8834

2011 Avg (February) 21.1907

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	20.2243	19.7130	20.0253
February	20.3354	19.5983	19.8834
March	19.6060	19.1529	19.3990
April	19.5327	18.9563	19.1911
May	19.2623	17.1630	18.2890
June	18.0318	16.9875	17.5638
July	17.8006	16.6259	17.1229
August	17.3608	16.8251	17.0832
September	18.5001	17.2502	17.9808
October	19.0349	18.1518	18.4828
November	18.6655	18.2220	18.3535
December	18.9021	18.3258	18.6685