YEARLY HIGH
5.4593 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.0952 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.2527 SOS

2023 RSD to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RSD to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 17, valuing the pair at 5.4593. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 3, dropping to 5.0952.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3641 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2268 to the December average rate of 5.3271, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 5.4593 was down 4.18% compared to the 2022 peak of 5.6975, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,297 SOS
2022 Average 25,823 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 25,476 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,820.50 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

5.3873
5.1217
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2408, compared to 5.2645 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0236 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2408
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2645

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 0.2247 SOS (High: 5.3323 / Low: 5.1075). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1070 SOS (High: 5.2022 / Low: 5.0952).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2247
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1070

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1052 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1052

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 5.3652) against the same month in 2022 (average: 5.0040), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3612 (+7.22%).

2023 Avg (July) 5.3652
2022 Avg (July) 5.0040

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2923 5.1019 5.2268
February 5.3323 5.1075 5.1869
March 5.2884 5.1144 5.1885
April 5.3577 5.2465 5.3140
May 5.3747 5.1828 5.2688
June 5.3308 5.1901 5.2601
July 5.4593 5.2678 5.3652
August 5.3490 5.2395 5.2952
September 5.2447 5.1148 5.1900
October 5.2022 5.0952 5.1438
November 5.3619 5.1574 5.2655
December 5.4159 5.2445 5.3271