YEARLY HIGH
6.0868 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.5130 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8472 SOS

2021 RSD to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RSD to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 6.0868. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 25, dropping to 5.5130.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5738 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0035 to the December average rate of 5.5915, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.0868 was down 0.00% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.0868, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,434 SOS
2020 Average 28,204 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 27,565 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,869.21 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

6.0469
5.5501
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9563, compared to 5.7381 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2183 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9563
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.7381

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.2350 SOS (High: 5.7480 / Low: 5.5130). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1111 SOS (High: 5.9002 / Low: 5.7890).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2350
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1111

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1254 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1254

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 6.0035) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5.4808), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5227 (+9.54%).

2021 Avg (January) 6.0035
2020 Avg (January) 5.4808

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0868 5.9431 6.0035
February 6.0502 5.9153 5.9753
March 5.9548 5.7938 5.8895
April 6.0007 5.7746 5.8993
May 6.0783 5.8942 6.0055
June 6.0643 5.8716 5.9650
July 5.9002 5.7890 5.8395
August 5.8872 5.7467 5.7996
September 5.8852 5.7186 5.8173
October 5.7866 5.6751 5.7421
November 5.7480 5.5130 5.6385
December 5.6488 5.5338 5.5915