YEARLY HIGH
5.6975 SOS
YEARLY LOW
4.6504 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1671 SOS

2022 RSD to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the RSD to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 5.6975. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 4.6504.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0470 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.6016 to the December average rate of 5.1358, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 5.6975 was down 6.40% compared to the 2021 peak of 6.0868, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,487 SOS
2021 Average 29,232 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 23,252 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,235.20 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

5.6937
4.6813
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4042, compared to 4.9301 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4741 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4042
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9301

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was November, with a trading range of 0.3331 SOS (High: 5.0545 / Low: 4.7213). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1269 SOS (High: 5.2037 / Low: 5.0768).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3331
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1269

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2201 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2201

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2022: 5.6093) against the same month in 2021 (average: 5.9753), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3660 (-6.12%).

2022 Avg (February) 5.6093
2021 Avg (February) 5.9753

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6792 5.5059 5.6016
February 5.6975 5.5027 5.6093
March 5.5130 5.3641 5.4410
April 5.4727 5.1606 5.3254
May 5.3284 5.1216 5.2236
June 5.3223 5.1409 5.2241
July 5.1384 4.9079 5.0040
August 5.0678 4.8129 4.9251
September 4.9051 4.6504 4.7990
October 4.8916 4.7025 4.7657
November 5.0545 4.7213 4.9509
December 5.2037 5.0768 5.1358