YEARLY HIGH
5.7125 SOS
YEARLY LOW
4.7080 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3411 SOS

2016 RSD to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 3, valuing the pair at 5.7125. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 4.7080.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0046 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4860 to the December average rate of 4.8962, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.7125 was down 20.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.2009, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,563 SOS
2015 Average 31,021 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 23,540 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,022.85 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.7061
4.8226
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5180, compared to 5.1641 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3539 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5180
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1641

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.4484 SOS (High: 5.2109 / Low: 4.7626). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0514 SOS (High: 5.3405 / Low: 5.2890).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4484
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0514

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1992 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1992

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 5.6324) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.3132), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6808 (-10.78%).

2016 Avg (April) 5.6324
2015 Avg (April) 6.3132

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5656 5.4021 5.4860
February 5.6382 5.3979 5.5418
March 5.6830 5.3680 5.5365
April 5.7125 5.5366 5.6324
May 5.6928 5.3384 5.5554
June 5.5354 5.2185 5.3562
July 5.3097 5.1498 5.2287
August 5.3828 5.2081 5.2985
September 5.3405 5.2890 5.3096
October 5.3552 5.0920 5.2140
November 5.2109 4.7626 5.0377
December 5.0705 4.7080 4.8962