2014 RSD to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.6168 SOS

YEARLY LOW

7.1244 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.4012 SOS

2014 RSD to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RSD to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 13.6168. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 7.1244.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.4924 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.0434 to the December average rate of 7.4037, the exchange rate registered a net change of -43.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 13.6168 was down 31.10% compared to the 2013 peak of 19.7625, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 68,084 SOS

2013 Average 82,571 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 35,622 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 32,461.91 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

13.6073

6.8398

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.0109, compared to 8.7914 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.2194 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.0109

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.7914

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was July, with a trading range of 1.1503 SOS (High: 10.9006 / Low: 9.7503). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2365 SOS (High: 11.8706 / Low: 11.6341).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.1503

April Spread (Stable) ±0.2365

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.9282 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9282

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 13.0434) against the same month in 2013 (average: 18.9948), the exchange rate shifted by -5.9515 (-31.33%).

2014 Avg (January) 13.0434

2013 Avg (January) 18.9948

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.6168	12.6289	13.0434
February	12.7920	12.3354	12.5983
March	12.4554	11.8310	12.1591
April	11.8706	11.6341	11.7238
May	11.7242	11.1485	11.5218
June	11.2034	10.8512	11.0190
July	10.9006	9.7503	10.5029
August	9.7720	9.3658	9.5746
September	9.3770	8.3187	8.9222
October	8.3834	8.1317	8.2858
November	8.2562	7.7246	8.0595
December	7.7653	7.1244	7.4037