YEARLY HIGH
6.1370 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.5254 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7834 SOS

2018 RSD to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 6.1370. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 5.5254.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6116 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9645 to the December average rate of 5.5787, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.1370 was up 3.25% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.9436, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,685 SOS
2017 Average 27,002 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 27,627 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,057.83 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.1109
5.5175
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9266, compared to 5.6402 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2865 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9266
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6402

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2997 SOS (High: 6.0999 / Low: 5.8001). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0572 SOS (High: 5.7639 / Low: 5.7067).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2997
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0572

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2301 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2301

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 6.0615) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.9721), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0894 (+21.91%).

2018 Avg (February) 6.0615
2017 Avg (February) 4.9721

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0999 5.8001 5.9645
February 6.1370 5.9892 6.0615
March 6.1173 5.9880 6.0612
April 6.0598 5.8700 5.9989
May 5.8986 5.6266 5.7688
June 5.7651 5.6147 5.7048
July 5.7639 5.7067 5.7285
August 5.7307 5.5625 5.6509
September 5.7662 5.6536 5.6962
October 5.6786 5.5440 5.6198
November 5.6152 5.5284 5.5670
December 5.6201 5.5254 5.5787