YEARLY HIGH
5.6658 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.3654 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5099 SOS

2019 RSD to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 5.6658. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 5.3654.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3004 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5986 to the December average rate of 5.4818, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.6658 was down 7.68% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.1370, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,329 SOS
2018 Average 28,908 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 26,827 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,501.95 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.6158
5.4096
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5524, compared to 5.4674 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0850 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5524
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4674

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.1562 SOS (High: 5.5295 / Low: 5.3733). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0817 SOS (High: 5.4567 / Low: 5.3750).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1562
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0817

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0633 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0633

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 5.5986) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.9645), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3659 (-6.13%).

2019 Avg (January) 5.5986
2018 Avg (January) 5.9645

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6658 5.5384 5.5986
February 5.6265 5.5227 5.5649
March 5.6251 5.4982 5.5547
April 5.5594 5.4623 5.5188
May 5.5482 5.4569 5.5102
June 5.6268 5.4966 5.5668
July 5.5929 5.4464 5.5277
August 5.5295 5.3733 5.4644
September 5.4567 5.3750 5.4268
October 5.5137 5.3654 5.4542
November 5.5018 5.4102 5.4494
December 5.5285 5.4197 5.4818