YEARLY HIGH
4.8443 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.8261 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2283 UGX

2011 RWF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the RWF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 4.8443. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 3.8261.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0182 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9181 to the December average rate of 4.0862, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 4.8443 was up 22.50% compared to the 2010 peak of 3.9544, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,221 UGX
2010 Average 18,717 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 19,130 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,091.03 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

4.8089
3.8371
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9927, compared to 4.4640 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4713 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9927
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4640

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.5078 UGX (High: 4.8443 / Low: 4.3365). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0569 UGX (High: 4.0360 / Low: 3.9791).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.5078
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0569

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3878 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3878

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 4.6983) against the same month in 2010 (average: 3.8668), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8314 (+21.50%).

2011 Avg (October) 4.6983
2010 Avg (October) 3.8668

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0282 3.8261 3.9181
February 3.9902 3.8480 3.9306
March 4.0677 3.9624 4.0184
April 4.0031 3.9109 3.9743
May 4.0360 3.9791 4.0066
June 4.4764 3.9965 4.1081
July 4.3750 4.2567 4.3383
August 4.7456 4.3845 4.6227
September 4.8386 4.6680 4.7279
October 4.8443 4.3365 4.6983
November 4.4034 4.1846 4.3105
December 4.2578 3.9408 4.0862